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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Mecz ·

AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–23.01 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy33%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości39%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości39% selection probability
Projected score1–2AC OuluHJK Helsinki
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej58% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
33% / 28% / 39%Wynik meczuWygrana gości39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Podwójna szansa1272.5%1.38
Powyżej 58% · Poniżej 42%Goals 2.5Powyżej58%1.72
Tak 61% · Nie 39%Obie drużyny strzeląTak61%1.64
3.01 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
10.5 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
AC Oulu win33%3.03
Remis28%3.57
HJK Helsinki win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC Oulu1.41

Gospodarze share of expected goals 46.8%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 58% · Poniżej 42%

HJK Helsinki1.60

Goście share of expected goals 53.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 61% · Nie 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

AC Oulu

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

HJK Helsinki

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.41
Expected goals
1.60
AC OuluHJK Helsinki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC Oulu signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HJK Helsinki signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC Oulu wygrana 33%,Remis 28%,HJK Helsinki wygrana 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Powyżej 2.5 58% · Current selection Powyżej