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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Match ·

AC Oulu vs HJK Helsingfors

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–23.02 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger34%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger39%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger39% selection probability
Projected score1–2AC OuluHJK Helsingfors
Expected goals3.02Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över58% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
34% / 28% / 39%MatchresultatBortaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Dubbelchans1272.5%1.38
Över 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Över58%1.72
Ja 61% · Nej 39%Båda lagen gör målJa61%1.64
3.02 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.5 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
AC Oulu win34%2.94
Oavgjort28%3.57
HJK Helsingfors win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC Oulu1.42

Hemma share of expected goals 47%

Total expected goals3.02Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 58% · Under 42%

HJK Helsingfors1.60

Borta share of expected goals 53%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 61% · Nej 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

AC Oulu

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

HJK Helsingfors

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.42
Expected goals
1.60
AC OuluHJK Helsingfors
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC Oulu signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HJK Helsingfors signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AC Oulu vs HJK Helsingfors FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC Oulu vunnen 34%,Oavgjort 28%,HJK Helsingfors vunnen 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.02 · Över 2.5 58% · Current selection Över