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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Kamp ·

AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–23.02 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier34%
Uavgjort28%
Borteseier39%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier39% selection probability
Projected score1–2AC OuluHJK Helsinki
Expected goals3.02Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over58% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
34% / 28% / 39%KampresultatBorteseier39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Dobbel sjanse1272.5%1.38
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Ja 61% · Nei 39%Begge lag scorerJa61%1.64
3.02 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
AC Oulu win34%2.94
Uavgjort28%3.57
HJK Helsinki win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC Oulu1.42

Hjemme share of expected goals 47%

Total expected goals3.02Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%

HJK Helsinki1.60

Borte share of expected goals 53%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 61% · Nei 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

AC Oulu

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

HJK Helsinki

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.42
Expected goals
1.60
AC OuluHJK Helsinki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC Oulu signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HJK Helsinki signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC Oulu vunnet 34%,Uavgjort 28%,HJK Helsinki vunnet 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.02 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over