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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Zápas ·

AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–23.02 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich34%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostí39%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí39% selection probability
Projected score1–2AC OuluHJK Helsinki
Expected goals3.02Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac58% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
34% / 28% / 39%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Dvojitá šanca1272.5%1.38
Viac 58% · Menej 42%Goals 2.5Viac58%1.72
Áno 61% · Nie 39%Oba tímy skórujúÁno61%1.64
3.02 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–2
10.5 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
AC Oulu win34%2.94
Remíza28%3.57
HJK Helsinki win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC Oulu1.42

Domáci share of expected goals 47%

Total expected goals3.02Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 58% · Menej 42%

HJK Helsinki1.60

Hostia share of expected goals 53%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitÁno 61% · Nie 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

AC Oulu

1.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

HJK Helsinki

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Výhra probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.42
Expected goals
1.60
AC OuluHJK Helsinki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC Oulu signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HJK Helsinki signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC Oulu výhra 34%,Remíza 28%,HJK Helsinki výhra 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.02 · Viac 2.5 58% · Current selection Viac