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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Match ·

AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–23.01 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile33%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur39%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur39% selection probability
Projected score1–2AC OuluHJK Helsinki
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
33% / 28% / 39%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Double chance1272.5%1.38
Plus de 58% · Moins de 42%Goals 2.5Plus de58%1.72
Oui 61% · Non 39%Les deux équipes marquentOui61%1.64
3.01 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
AC Oulu win33%3.03
Nul28%3.57
HJK Helsinki win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC Oulu1.41

Domicile share of expected goals 46.8%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 58% · Moins de 42%

HJK Helsinki1.60

Extérieur share of expected goals 53.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 61% · Non 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

AC Oulu

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

HJK Helsinki

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gagné probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.41
Expected goals
1.60
AC OuluHJK Helsinki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC Oulu signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HJK Helsinki signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC Oulu victoire 33%,Nul 28%,HJK Helsinki victoire 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Plus de 2.5 58% · Current selection Plus de