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BGR Bułgaria - 1. Liga · Mecz ·

Czerno More Warna vs Łudogorec Razgrad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.96 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy18%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości55%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości55% selection probability
Projected score1–1Czerno More WarnaŁudogorec Razgrad
Expected goals1.96Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej69% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
18% / 27% / 55%Wynik meczuWygrana gości55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Czerno More Warna win (18.4%)Podwójna szansaX281.6%1.23
Powyżej 31% · Poniżej 69%Goals 2.5Poniżej69%1.45
Tak 33% · Nie 67%Obie drużyny strzeląNie67%1.49
1.96 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.9 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapCzerno More Warna winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Czerno More Warna win18%5.565.0018.8%-0.8 pp
Remis27%3.703.5026.9%+0.1 pp
Łudogorec Razgrad win55%1.821.7354.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Czerno More Warna0.56

Gospodarze share of expected goals 28.6%

Total expected goals1.96Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 31% · Poniżej 69%

Łudogorec Razgrad1.40

Goście share of expected goals 71.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 33% · Nie 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Czerno More Warna

0.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkty2

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Łudogorec Razgrad

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
55%
2
Points from supplied form
10
0.56
Expected goals
1.40
Czerno More WarnaŁudogorec Razgrad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Czerno More Warna signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Łudogorec Razgrad signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Czerno More Warna vs Łudogorec Razgrad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Czerno More Warna wygrana 18%,Remis 27%,Łudogorec Razgrad wygrana 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.96 · Powyżej 2.5 31% · Current selection Poniżej