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BGR Βουλγαρία - Πρώτη Λίγκα · Αγώνας ·

Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα vs Λουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου18%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου55%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου55% selection probability
Projected score1–1Τσέρνο Μόρε ΒάρναΛουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω69% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
18% / 27% / 55%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα win (18.4%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX281.6%1.23
Άνω 31% · Κάτω 69%Goals 2.5Κάτω69%1.45
Ναι 33% · Όχι 67%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67%1.49
1.97 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapΤσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα win18%5.565.0018.8%-0.8 pp
Ισοπαλία27%3.703.5026.9%+0.1 pp
Λουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ win55%1.821.7354.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα0.56

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 28.4%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 31% · Κάτω 69%

Λουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ1.41

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 71.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 33% · Όχι 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα

0.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Πόντοι2

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Λουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
55%
2
Points from supplied form
10
0.56
Expected goals
1.41
Τσέρνο Μόρε ΒάρναΛουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Λουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα vs Λουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα νίκη 18%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Λουντογκόρετς Ράζγκραντ νίκη 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Άνω 2.5 31% · Current selection Κάτω