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BGR 保加利亞甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納 vs 盧多格德斯

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–11.96 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝18%
27%
客勝55%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝55% selection probability
Projected score1–1切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納盧多格德斯
Expected goals1.96Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.569% for the selected side
雙方進球67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
18% / 27% / 55%比賽結果客勝55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納 win (18.4%)雙重機會X281.6%1.23
大 31% · 小 69%Goals 2.569%1.45
是 33% · 否 67%雙方進球67%1.49
1.96 total expected goals正確比分1–1
8.9 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gap切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納 winDifference-0.8 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納 win18%5.565.0018.8%-0.8 pp
27%3.703.5026.9%+0.1 pp
盧多格德斯 win55%1.821.7354.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納0.56

主隊 share of expected goals 28.6%

Total expected goals1.96Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 31% · 69%

盧多格德斯1.40

客隊 share of expected goals 71.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 33% · 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納

0.40pts / match
5Wins0Drawn2Losses3積分2

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

客隊-context · form sequence

盧多格德斯

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
贏 probability excluding draw
55%
2
Points from supplied form
10
0.56
Expected goals
1.40
切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納盧多格德斯
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02盧多格德斯 signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納 vs 盧多格德斯 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納 18%, 27%,盧多格德斯 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.96 · 大2.5 31% · Current selection