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BGR ブルガリア ファーストリーグ · 試合 ·

セプテムヴリ・ソフィア vs CSKAソフィア

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.50 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利16%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利57%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利57% selection probability
Projected score1–2セプテムヴリ・ソフィアCSKAソフィア
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
16% / 26% / 57%試合結果アウェイ勝利57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes セプテムヴリ・ソフィア win (16.4%)ダブルチャンスX283.6%1.20
オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%Goals 2.5アンダー54%1.85
はい 39% · いいえ 61%両チーム得点いいえ61%1.64
2.50 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
8.9 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
セプテムヴリ・ソフィア win16%6.25
引き分け26%3.85
CSKAソフィア win57%1.75

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

セプテムヴリ・ソフィア0.61

ホーム share of expected goals 24.4%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%

CSKAソフィア1.89

アウェイ share of expected goals 75.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 39% · いいえ 61%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

セプテムヴリ・ソフィア

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

CSKAソフィア

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
勝ち probability excluding draw
57%
2
Points from supplied form
11
0.61
Expected goals
1.89
セプテムヴリ・ソフィアCSKAソフィア
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01セプテムヴリ・ソフィア signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CSKAソフィア signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

セプテムヴリ・ソフィア vs CSKAソフィア FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

セプテムヴリ・ソフィア 勝ち 16%,引き分け 26%,CSKAソフィア 勝ち 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · オーバー 2.5 46% · Current selection アンダー