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BGR Bulgaaria kõrgliiga · Mäng ·

Sofia Septemvri vs Sofia CSKA

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–22.50 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit16%
Viik26%
Võõrsilvõit57%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit57% selection probability
Projected score1–2Sofia SeptemvriSofia CSKA
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alla54% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
16% / 26% / 57%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sofia Septemvri win (16.4%)TopeltvõimalusX283.6%1.20
Üle 46% · Alla 54%Goals 2.5Alla54%1.85
Jah 39% · Ei 61%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi61%1.64
2.50 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–2
8.9 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Sofia Septemvri win16%6.25
Viik26%3.85
Sofia CSKA win57%1.75

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sofia Septemvri0.61

Kodu share of expected goals 24.4%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 46% · Alla 54%

Sofia CSKA1.89

Võõras share of expected goals 75.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJah 39% · Ei 61%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Sofia Septemvri

0.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punktid2

SignalKodu failed to score: 2/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Sofia CSKA

2.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punktid11

SignalVõõras unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Võit probability excluding draw
57%
2
Points from supplied form
11
0.61
Expected goals
1.89
Sofia SeptemvriSofia CSKA
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sofia Septemvri signalKodu failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sofia CSKA signalVõõras unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Sofia Septemvri vs Sofia CSKA FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sofia Septemvri võit 16%,Viik 26%,Sofia CSKA võit 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Üle 2.5 46% · Current selection Alla