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FC Levadia Tallinn vs FC Nõmme United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score4–15.30 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit73%
Viik15%
Võõrsilvõit12%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit73% selection probability
Projected score4–1FC Levadia TallinnFC Nõmme United
Expected goals5.30Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle90% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah69% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
73% / 15% / 12%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Nõmme United win (11.9%)Topeltvõimalus1X88.1%1.14
Üle 90% · Alla 10%Goals 2.5Üle90%1.11
Jah 69% · Ei 31%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah69%1.45
5.30 total expected goalsTäpne skoor4–1
11.0 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
FC Levadia Tallinn win73%1.37
Viik15%6.67
FC Nõmme United win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Levadia Tallinn4.09

Kodu share of expected goals 77.2%

Total expected goals5.30Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 90% · Alla 10%

FC Nõmme United1.21

Võõras share of expected goals 22.8%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitJah 69% · Ei 31%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

FC Levadia Tallinn

2.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punktid10

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

FC Nõmme United

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punktid9

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Võit probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
9
4.09
Expected goals
1.21
FC Levadia TallinnFC Nõmme United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Levadia Tallinn signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Nõmme United signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

FC Levadia Tallinn vs FC Nõmme United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 4–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Levadia Tallinn võit 73%,Viik 15%,FC Nõmme United võit 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.30 · Üle 2.5 90% · Current selection Üle