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EST Estónia - Meistriliiga · Partida ·

FC Levadia Tallinn vs JK Nõmme United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score4–15.30 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa73%
Empate15%
Vitória visitante12%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa73% selection probability
Projected score4–1FC Levadia TallinnJK Nõmme United
Expected goals5.30Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima90% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim69% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
73% / 15% / 12%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Nõmme United win (11.9%)Dupla Chance1X88.1%1.14
Acima 90% · Abaixo 10%Goals 2.5Acima90%1.11
Sim 69% · Não 31%Ambas as equipes marcamSim69%1.45
5.30 total expected goalsPlacar exato4–1
11.0 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
FC Levadia Tallinn win73%1.37
Empate15%6.67
JK Nõmme United win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Levadia Tallinn4.09

Mandante share of expected goals 77.2%

Total expected goals5.30Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 90% · Abaixo 10%

JK Nõmme United1.21

Visitante share of expected goals 22.8%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitSim 69% · Não 31%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

FC Levadia Tallinn

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

JK Nõmme United

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
9
4.09
Expected goals
1.21
FC Levadia TallinnJK Nõmme United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Levadia Tallinn signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nõmme United signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

FC Levadia Tallinn vs JK Nõmme United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 4–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Levadia Tallinn ganhou 73%,Empate 15%,JK Nõmme United ganhou 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.30 · Acima 2.5 90% · Current selection Acima