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BGR Βουλγαρία - Πρώτη Λίγκα · Αγώνας ·

Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ vs Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.06 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου53%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου22%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Μπότεφ ΠλόβντιβΣπαρτάκ Βάρνα
Expected goals3.06Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω59% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
53% / 26% / 22%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα win (22%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X78%1.28
Άνω 59% · Κάτω 41%Goals 2.5Άνω59%1.69
Ναι 55% · Όχι 45%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι55%1.82
3.06 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ win53%1.89
Ισοπαλία26%3.85
Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ2.06

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals3.06Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 59% · Κάτω 41%

Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα1.00

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 55% · Όχι 45%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.06
Expected goals
1.00
Μπότεφ ΠλόβντιβΣπαρτάκ Βάρνα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ vs Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μπότεφ Πλόβντιβ νίκη 53%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Σπαρτάκ Βάρνα νίκη 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · Άνω 2.5 59% · Current selection Άνω