Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
52% / 26% / 22%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Spartak Varna win (22.1%)Șansă dublă1X77.9%1.28
Peste 58% · Sub 42%Goals 2.5Peste58%1.72
Da 55% · Nu 45%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55%1.82
3.03 total expected goalsScor corect2–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Botev Plovdiv win52%1.92
Egal26%3.85
Spartak Varna win22%4.55
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Gazde share of expected goals 67.3%
Total expected goals3.03Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Peste 58% · Sub 42%
Oaspeți share of expected goals 32.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 55% · Nu 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Gazde-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchBotev Plovdiv
WLDLW
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7
SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5
Oaspeți-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSpartak Varna
WWDWL
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10
SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
52%
Câștig probability excluding draw
22%7
Points from supplied form
102.04
Expected goals
0.99Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Botev Plovdiv câștig 52%，Egal 26%，Spartak Varna câștig 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.03 · Peste 2.5 58% · Current selection Peste。