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CHL Chile - Segunda · Meci ·

Real Jventud San Joaquin vs Santiago Morning

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.27 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde35%
Egal29%
Victorie oaspeți35%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Real Jventud San JoaquinSantiago Morning
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub61% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
35% / 29% / 35%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Șansă dublă1270.8%1.41
Peste 39% · Sub 61%Goals 2.5Sub61%1.64
Da 45% · Nu 55%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu55%1.82
2.27 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapSantiago Morning winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Jventud San Joaquin win35%2.862.6034.7%+0.3 pp
Egal29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
Santiago Morning win35%2.862.5036.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Jventud San Joaquin1.31

Gazde share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 39% · Sub 61%

Santiago Morning0.96

Oaspeți share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 45% · Nu 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Real Jventud San Joaquin

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Santiago Morning

0.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puncte2

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Câștig probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.31
Expected goals
0.96
Real Jventud San JoaquinSantiago Morning
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Jventud San Joaquin signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santiago Morning signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Real Jventud San Joaquin vs Santiago Morning FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Jventud San Joaquin câștig 35%,Egal 29%,Santiago Morning câștig 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Peste 2.5 39% · Current selection Sub