MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
CHL Chile Segunda · Fixture ·

Real Juventud San Joaquin vs Santiago Morning

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.29 expected goals
Away form
Home win36%
Draw29%
Away win35%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Real Juventud San JoaquinSantiago Morning
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 29% / 35%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Double chance1270.9%1.41
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.29 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapReal Juventud San Joaquin winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Juventud San Joaquin win36%2.782.6034.7%+1.3 pp
Draw29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
Santiago Morning win35%2.862.5036.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Juventud San Joaquin1.35

Home share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

Santiago Morning0.94

Away share of expected goals 41%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Real Juventud San Joaquin

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Santiago Morning

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.35
Expected goals
0.94
Real Juventud San JoaquinSantiago Morning
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Juventud San Joaquin signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santiago Morning signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Real Juventud San Joaquin vs Santiago Morning FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Juventud San Joaquin win 36%,Draw 29%,Santiago Morning win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under