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CHL Chile - Segunda · Match ·

Real Jventud San Joaquin vs Santiago Morning

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.27 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger35%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger35%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Real Jventud San JoaquinSantiago Morning
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
35% / 29% / 35%MatchresultatHemmaseger35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Dubbelchans1270.8%1.41
Över 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Båda lagen gör målNej55%1.82
2.27 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapSantiago Morning winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Jventud San Joaquin win35%2.862.6034.7%+0.3 pp
Oavgjort29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
Santiago Morning win35%2.862.5036.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Jventud San Joaquin1.31

Hemma share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 39% · Under 61%

Santiago Morning0.96

Borta share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Real Jventud San Joaquin

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Santiago Morning

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.31
Expected goals
0.96
Real Jventud San JoaquinSantiago Morning
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Jventud San Joaquin signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santiago Morning signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Real Jventud San Joaquin vs Santiago Morning FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Jventud San Joaquin vunnen 35%,Oavgjort 29%,Santiago Morning vunnen 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Över 2.5 39% · Current selection Under