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NOR Norway Division 3 Group 6 · Match ·

Dröbak/Frogn vs Sandefjord 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–24.32 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort21%
Bortaseger33%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score3–2Dröbak/FrognSandefjord 2
Expected goals4.32Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över81% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa74% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 21% / 33%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.1%)Dubbelchans1278.9%1.27
Över 81% · Under 19%Goals 2.5Över81%1.23
Ja 74% · Nej 26%Båda lagen gör målJa74%1.35
4.32 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–2
10.1 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDröbak/Frogn winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dröbak/Frogn win46%2.172.0044.7%+1.3 pp
Oavgjort21%4.764.2021.3%-0.3 pp
Sandefjord 2 win33%3.032.6334%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dröbak/Frogn2.77

Hemma share of expected goals 64.1%

Total expected goals4.32Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 81% · Under 19%

Sandefjord 21.55

Borta share of expected goals 35.9%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 74% · Nej 26%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Dröbak/Frogn

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Sandefjord 2

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.77
Expected goals
1.55
Dröbak/FrognSandefjord 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dröbak/Frogn signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sandefjord 2 signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Dröbak/Frogn vs Sandefjord 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dröbak/Frogn vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 21%,Sandefjord 2 vunnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.32 · Över 2.5 81% · Current selection Över