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NOR Noorwegen - 3. divisjon - Groep 6 · Wedstrijd ·

Drøbak/Frogn vs Sandefjord 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–24.32 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst46%
Gelijkspel21%
Uitwinst33%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst46% selection probability
Projected score3–2Drøbak/FrognSandefjord 2
Expected goals4.32Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven81% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa74% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 21% / 33%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.1%)Dubbele Kans1278.9%1.27
Boven 81% · Onder 19%Goals 2.5Boven81%1.23
Ja 74% · Nee 26%Beide teams scorenJa74%1.35
4.32 total expected goalsExacte score3–2
10.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrøbak/Frogn winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Drøbak/Frogn win46%2.172.0044.7%+1.3 pp
Gelijkspel21%4.764.2021.3%-0.3 pp
Sandefjord 2 win33%3.032.6334%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Drøbak/Frogn2.77

Thuis share of expected goals 64.1%

Total expected goals4.32Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 81% · Onder 19%

Sandefjord 21.55

Uit share of expected goals 35.9%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 74% · Nee 26%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Drøbak/Frogn

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Sandefjord 2

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.77
Expected goals
1.55
Drøbak/FrognSandefjord 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Drøbak/Frogn signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sandefjord 2 signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Drøbak/Frogn vs Sandefjord 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Drøbak/Frogn gewonnen 46%,Gelijkspel 21%,Sandefjord 2 gewonnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.32 · Boven 2.5 81% · Current selection Boven