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NOR Noorwegen - 3. divisjon - Groep 6 · Wedstrijd ·

Sarpsborg 2 vs Brumunddal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–14.41 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst67%
Gelijkspel17%
Uitwinst17%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst67% selection probability
Projected score3–1Sarpsborg 2Brumunddal
Expected goals4.41Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven82% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
67% / 17% / 17%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Brumunddal win (16.6%)Dubbele Kans1X83.4%1.20
Boven 82% · Onder 18%Goals 2.5Boven82%1.22
Ja 71% · Nee 29%Beide teams scorenJa71%1.41
4.41 total expected goalsExacte score3–1
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin13.3%Largest probability gapSarpsborg 2 winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sarpsborg 2 win67%1.491.3366.4%+0.6 pp
Gelijkspel17%5.885.2516.8%+0.2 pp
Brumunddal win17%5.885.2516.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sarpsborg 23.05

Thuis share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals4.41Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 82% · Onder 18%

Brumunddal1.36

Uit share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 71% · Nee 29%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Sarpsborg 2

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Brumunddal

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
17%
4
Points from supplied form
1
3.05
Expected goals
1.36
Sarpsborg 2Brumunddal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sarpsborg 2 signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brumunddal signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Sarpsborg 2 vs Brumunddal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sarpsborg 2 gewonnen 67%,Gelijkspel 17%,Brumunddal gewonnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.41 · Boven 2.5 82% · Current selection Boven