Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
67% / 17% / 17%Match resultHome win67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Brumunddal win (16.6%)Double chance1X83.4%1.20
Over 82% · Under 18%Goals 2.5Over82%1.22
Yes 71% · No 29%Both teams scoreYes71%1.41
4.41 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin13.3%Largest probability gapSarpsborg 2 winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sarpsborg 2 win67%1.491.3366.4%+0.6 pp
Draw17%5.885.2516.8%+0.2 pp
Brumunddal win17%5.885.2516.8%+0.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 69.2%
Total expected goals4.41Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 82% · Under 18%
Away share of expected goals 30.8%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 71% · No 29%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchSarpsborg 2
DLLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchBrumunddal
LLDLL
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
67%
Win probability excluding draw
17%4
Points from supplied form
13.05
Expected goals
1.36Sarpsborg 2Brumunddal
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.
Match questions
Sarpsborg 2 vs Brumunddal FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sarpsborg 2 win 67%，Draw 17%，Brumunddal win 17%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.41 · Over 2.5 82% · Current selection Over。