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NOR Norwegia - Division 3 - Grupa 6 · Mecz ·

Sarpsborg 2 vs Brumunddal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score3–14.41 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy67%
Remis17%
Wygrana gości17%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy67% selection probability
Projected score3–1Sarpsborg 2Brumunddal
Expected goals4.41Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej82% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
67% / 17% / 17%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Brumunddal win (16.6%)Podwójna szansa1X83.4%1.20
Powyżej 82% · Poniżej 18%Goals 2.5Powyżej82%1.22
Tak 71% · Nie 29%Obie drużyny strzeląTak71%1.41
4.41 total expected goalsDokładny wynik3–1
9.8 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin13.3%Largest probability gapSarpsborg 2 winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sarpsborg 2 win67%1.491.3366.4%+0.6 pp
Remis17%5.885.2516.8%+0.2 pp
Brumunddal win17%5.885.2516.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sarpsborg 23.05

Gospodarze share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals4.41Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 82% · Poniżej 18%

Brumunddal1.36

Goście share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitTak 71% · Nie 29%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Sarpsborg 2

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Brumunddal

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
17%
4
Points from supplied form
1
3.05
Expected goals
1.36
Sarpsborg 2Brumunddal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sarpsborg 2 signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brumunddal signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Sarpsborg 2 vs Brumunddal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sarpsborg 2 wygrana 67%,Remis 17%,Brumunddal wygrana 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.41 · Powyżej 2.5 82% · Current selection Powyżej