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NOR Norway Division 3 Group 6 · Spiel ·

Sarpsborg 2 vs Brumunddal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–14.41 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg67%
Unentschieden17%
Auswärtssieg17%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg67% selection probability
Projected score3–1Sarpsborg 2Brumunddal
Expected goals4.41Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über82% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
67% / 17% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Brumunddal win (16.6%)Doppelte Chance1X83.4%1.20
Über 82% · Unter 18%Goals 2.5Über82%1.22
Ja 71% · Nein 29%Beide Teams treffenJa71%1.41
4.41 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
9.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin13.3%Largest probability gapSarpsborg 2 winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sarpsborg 2 win67%1.491.3366.4%+0.6 pp
Unentschieden17%5.885.2516.8%+0.2 pp
Brumunddal win17%5.885.2516.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sarpsborg 23.05

Heim share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals4.41Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 82% · Unter 18%

Brumunddal1.36

Auswärts share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 71% · Nein 29%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sarpsborg 2

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Brumunddal

0.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkte1

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
4
Points from supplied form
1
3.05
Expected goals
1.36
Sarpsborg 2Brumunddal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sarpsborg 2 signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brumunddal signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Sarpsborg 2 vs Brumunddal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sarpsborg 2 Gewinn 67%,Unentschieden 17%,Brumunddal Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.41 · Über 2.5 82% · Current selection Über