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IRL Republic of Ireland Premier Division · Wedstrijd ·

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.26 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst29%
Gelijkspel31%
Uitwinst40%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst40% selection probability
Projected score1–1ShelbourneSt Patrick's Athletic
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder61% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
29% / 31% / 40%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shelbourne win (29.3%)Dubbele KansX270.7%1.41
Boven 39% · Onder 61%Goals 2.5Onder61%1.64
Ja 46% · Nee 54%Beide teams scorenNee54%1.85
2.26 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Shelbourne win29%3.45
Gelijkspel31%3.23
St Patrick's Athletic win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shelbourne0.97

Thuis share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 39% · Onder 61%

St Patrick's Athletic1.29

Uit share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nee 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Shelbourne

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

St Patrick's Athletic

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
40%
6
Points from supplied form
6
0.97
Expected goals
1.29
ShelbourneSt Patrick's Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shelbourne signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St Patrick's Athletic signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shelbourne gewonnen 29%,Gelijkspel 31%,St Patrick's Athletic gewonnen 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · Boven 2.5 39% · Current selection Onder