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IRL Republic of Ireland Premier Division · Partita ·

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.26 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa29%
Pareggio31%
Vittoria ospite40%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite40% selection probability
Projected score1–1ShelbourneSt Patrick's Athletic
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto61% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
29% / 31% / 40%Esito partitaVittoria ospite40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shelbourne win (29.3%)Doppia ChanceX270.7%1.41
Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%Goals 2.5Sotto61%1.64
Sì 46% · No 54%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54%1.85
2.26 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Shelbourne win29%3.45
Pareggio31%3.23
St Patrick's Athletic win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shelbourne0.97

Casa share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%

St Patrick's Athletic1.29

Trasferta share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Shelbourne

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

St Patrick's Athletic

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Vinta probability excluding draw
40%
6
Points from supplied form
6
0.97
Expected goals
1.29
ShelbourneSt Patrick's Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shelbourne signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St Patrick's Athletic signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shelbourne vinta 29%,Pareggio 31%,St Patrick's Athletic vinta 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · Sopra 2.5 39% · Current selection Sotto