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IRL Republic of Ireland Premier Division · Αγώνας ·

Σέλμπουρν vs Σέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.26 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου29%
Ισοπαλία31%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου40%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου40% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΣέλμπουρνΣέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω61% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
29% / 31% / 40%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σέλμπουρν win (29.3%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX270.7%1.41
Άνω 39% · Κάτω 61%Goals 2.5Κάτω61%1.64
Ναι 46% · Όχι 54%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι54%1.85
2.26 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Σέλμπουρν win29%3.45
Ισοπαλία31%3.23
Σέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σέλμπουρν0.97

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 39% · Κάτω 61%

Σέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ1.29

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 46% · Όχι 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σέλμπουρν

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Πόντοι6

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
40%
6
Points from supplied form
6
0.97
Expected goals
1.29
ΣέλμπουρνΣέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σέλμπουρν signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Σέλμπουρν vs Σέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σέλμπουρν νίκη 29%,Ισοπαλία 31%,Σέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ νίκη 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · Άνω 2.5 39% · Current selection Κάτω