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SVN Slovenië - Prva Liga · Wedstrijd ·

NS Mura vs NK Radomlje

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst39%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst34%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst39% selection probability
Projected score2–1NS MuraNK Radomlje
Expected goals3.16Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven61% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
39% / 27% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Dubbele Kans1273%1.37
Boven 61% · Onder 39%Goals 2.5Boven61%1.64
Ja 63% · Nee 37%Beide teams scorenJa63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
NS Mura win39%2.56
Gelijkspel27%3.70
NK Radomlje win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NS Mura1.67

Thuis share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals3.16Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 61% · Onder 39%

NK Radomlje1.49

Uit share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nee 37%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

NS Mura

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

NK Radomlje

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalUit failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
1
1.67
Expected goals
1.49
NS MuraNK Radomlje
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NS Mura signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Radomlje signalUit failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

NS Mura vs NK Radomlje FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NS Mura gewonnen 39%,Gelijkspel 27%,NK Radomlje gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Boven 2.5 61% · Current selection Boven