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SVN Slovenia - Prva Liga · Partita ·

NS Mura vs NK Radomlje

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa39%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite34%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa39% selection probability
Projected score2–1NS MuraNK Radomlje
Expected goals3.16Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra61% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
39% / 27% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Doppia Chance1273%1.37
Sopra 61% · Sotto 39%Goals 2.5Sopra61%1.64
Sì 63% · No 37%Entrambe le squadre segnano63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
NS Mura win39%2.56
Pareggio27%3.70
NK Radomlje win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NS Mura1.67

Casa share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals3.16Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 61% · Sotto 39%

NK Radomlje1.49

Trasferta share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 63% · No 37%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

NS Mura

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

NK Radomlje

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalTrasferta failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
1
1.67
Expected goals
1.49
NS MuraNK Radomlje
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NS Mura signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Radomlje signalTrasferta failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

NS Mura vs NK Radomlje FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NS Mura vinta 39%,Pareggio 27%,NK Radomlje vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Sopra 2.5 61% · Current selection Sopra