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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Wedstrijd ·

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FK Kauno Zalgiris II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst55%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst22%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst55% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Zalgiris Vilnius IIFK Kauno Zalgiris II
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
55% / 23% / 22%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kauno Zalgiris II win (21.9%)Dubbele Kans1X78.1%1.28
Boven 46% · Onder 54%Goals 2.5Onder54%1.85
Ja 49% · Nee 51%Beide teams scorenNee51%1.96
2.53 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapFK Zalgiris Vilnius II winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II win55%1.821.6255.2%-0.2 pp
Gelijkspel23%4.353.9022.9%+0.1 pp
FK Kauno Zalgiris II win22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II1.56

Thuis share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 46% · Onder 54%

FK Kauno Zalgiris II0.97

Uit share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nee 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris II

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.56
Expected goals
0.97
FK Zalgiris Vilnius IIFK Kauno Zalgiris II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Zalgiris Vilnius II signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Kauno Zalgiris II signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FK Kauno Zalgiris II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II gewonnen 55%,Gelijkspel 23%,FK Kauno Zalgiris II gewonnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Boven 2.5 46% · Current selection Onder