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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Fixture ·

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FK Kauno Zalgiris II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Away form
Home win55%
Draw23%
Away win22%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win55% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Zalgiris Vilnius IIFK Kauno Zalgiris II
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 23% / 22%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kauno Zalgiris II win (21.9%)Double chance1X78.1%1.28
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.53 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapFK Zalgiris Vilnius II winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II win55%1.821.6255.2%-0.2 pp
Draw23%4.353.9022.9%+0.1 pp
FK Kauno Zalgiris II win22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II1.56

Home share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

FK Kauno Zalgiris II0.97

Away share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris II

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.56
Expected goals
0.97
FK Zalgiris Vilnius IIFK Kauno Zalgiris II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Zalgiris Vilnius II signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Kauno Zalgiris II signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FK Kauno Zalgiris II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II win 55%,Draw 23%,FK Kauno Zalgiris II win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under