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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Match ·

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FK Kauno Zalgiris II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger55%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger22%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger55% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Zalgiris Vilnius IIFK Kauno Zalgiris II
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
55% / 23% / 22%MatchresultatHemmaseger55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kauno Zalgiris II win (21.9%)Dubbelchans1X78.1%1.28
Över 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Båda lagen gör målNej51%1.96
2.53 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.6 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapFK Zalgiris Vilnius II winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II win55%1.821.6255.2%-0.2 pp
Oavgjort23%4.353.9022.9%+0.1 pp
FK Kauno Zalgiris II win22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II1.56

Hemma share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 46% · Under 54%

FK Kauno Zalgiris II0.97

Borta share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris II

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.56
Expected goals
0.97
FK Zalgiris Vilnius IIFK Kauno Zalgiris II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Zalgiris Vilnius II signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Kauno Zalgiris II signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FK Kauno Zalgiris II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vunnen 55%,Oavgjort 23%,FK Kauno Zalgiris II vunnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Över 2.5 46% · Current selection Under