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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Мач ·

Жалгирис Вилнюс 2 vs Кауно Жалгирис 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина55%
Равен23%
Победа за госта22%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Жалгирис Вилнюс 2Кауно Жалгирис 2
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
55% / 23% / 22%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Кауно Жалгирис 2 win (21.9%)Двоен шанс1X78.1%1.28
Над 46% · Под 54%Goals 2.5Под54%1.85
Да 49% · Не 51%И двата отбора да отбележатНе51%1.96
2.53 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.6 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapЖалгирис Вилнюс 2 winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Жалгирис Вилнюс 2 win55%1.821.6255.2%-0.2 pp
Равен23%4.353.9022.9%+0.1 pp
Кауно Жалгирис 2 win22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Жалгирис Вилнюс 21.56

Домакин share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 46% · Под 54%

Кауно Жалгирис 20.97

Гост share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Не 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Жалгирис Вилнюс 2

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Кауно Жалгирис 2

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.56
Expected goals
0.97
Жалгирис Вилнюс 2Кауно Жалгирис 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Жалгирис Вилнюс 2 signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Кауно Жалгирис 2 signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Жалгирис Вилнюс 2 vs Кауно Жалгирис 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Жалгирис Вилнюс 2 печеливш 55%,Равен 23%,Кауно Жалгирис 2 печеливш 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Над 2.5 46% · Current selection Под