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BGR България - Първа Лига · Мач ·

Ботев Враца vs Славия София

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина39%
Равен33%
Победа за госта28%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ботев ВрацаСлавия София
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под74% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
39% / 33% / 28%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Славия София win (27.8%)Двоен шанс1X72.2%1.39
Над 26% · Под 74%Goals 2.5Под74%1.35
Да 34% · Не 66%И двата отбора да отбележатНе66%1.52
1.78 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.8 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Ботев Враца win39%2.56
Равен33%3.03
Славия София win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ботев Враца1.04

Домакин share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 26% · Под 74%

Славия София0.74

Гост share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 34% · Не 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Ботев Враца

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Славия София

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalГост matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.04
Expected goals
0.74
Ботев ВрацаСлавия София
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ботев Враца signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Славия София signalГост matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Ботев Враца vs Славия София FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ботев Враца печеливш 39%,Равен 33%,Славия София печеливш 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Над 2.5 26% · Current selection Под