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BGR Болгария - Первая лига · Матч ·

Ботев Враца vs Славия София

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.79 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев39%
Ничья33%
Победа гостей28%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ботев ВрацаСлавия София
Expected goals1.79Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше73% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
39% / 33% / 28%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Славия София win (27.5%)Двойной шанс1X72.5%1.38
Больше 27% · Меньше 73%Goals 2.5Меньше73%1.37
Да 35% · Нет 65%Обе забьютНет65%1.54
1.79 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Ботев Враца win39%2.56
Ничья33%3.03
Славия София win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ботев Враца1.05

Хозяева share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals1.79Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 27% · Меньше 73%

Славия София0.74

Гости share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 35% · Нет 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Ботев Враца

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Славия София

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.05
Expected goals
0.74
Ботев ВрацаСлавия София
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ботев Враца signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Славия София signalХозяева unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Ботев Враца vs Славия София FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ботев Враца выигрыш 39%,Ничья 33%,Славия София выигрыш 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.79 · ТБ 2.5 27% · Current selection Меньше