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BGR Bulgaria First League · Maç ·

Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır39%
Beraberlik33%
Deplasman kazanır28%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Botev VratsaSlavia Sofia
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt74% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
39% / 33% / 28%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Slavia Sofia win (27.8%)Çifte Şans1X72.2%1.39
Üst 26% · Alt 74%Goals 2.5Alt74%1.35
Evet 34% · Hayır 66%Karşılıklı gol varHayır66%1.52
1.78 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.8 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Botev Vratsa win39%2.56
Beraberlik33%3.03
Slavia Sofia win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botev Vratsa1.04

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 26% · Alt 74%

Slavia Sofia0.74

Deplasman share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 34% · Hayır 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Botev Vratsa

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Slavia Sofia

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalDeplasman matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.04
Expected goals
0.74
Botev VratsaSlavia Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botev Vratsa signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Slavia Sofia signalDeplasman matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botev Vratsa kazanç 39%,Beraberlik 33%,Slavia Sofia kazanç 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · 2.5 Üst 26% · Current selection Alt