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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Meci ·

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FK Kauno Zalgiris II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde55%
Egal23%
Victorie oaspeți22%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde55% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Zalgiris Vilnius IIFK Kauno Zalgiris II
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub54% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
55% / 23% / 22%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kauno Zalgiris II win (21.9%)Șansă dublă1X78.1%1.28
Peste 46% · Sub 54%Goals 2.5Sub54%1.85
Da 49% · Nu 51%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu51%1.96
2.53 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapFK Zalgiris Vilnius II winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II win55%1.821.6255.2%-0.2 pp
Egal23%4.353.9022.9%+0.1 pp
FK Kauno Zalgiris II win22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II1.56

Gazde share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 46% · Sub 54%

FK Kauno Zalgiris II0.97

Oaspeți share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 49% · Nu 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris II

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Câștig probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.56
Expected goals
0.97
FK Zalgiris Vilnius IIFK Kauno Zalgiris II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Zalgiris Vilnius II signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Kauno Zalgiris II signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FK Kauno Zalgiris II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II câștig 55%,Egal 23%,FK Kauno Zalgiris II câștig 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Peste 2.5 46% · Current selection Sub