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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Zápas ·

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FK Kauno Žalgiris ll

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich55%
Remíza23%
Výhra hostí22%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich55% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Zalgiris Vilnius IIFK Kauno Žalgiris ll
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej54% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
55% / 23% / 22%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kauno Žalgiris ll win (21.9%)Dvojitá šanca1X78.1%1.28
Viac 46% · Menej 54%Goals 2.5Menej54%1.85
Áno 49% · Nie 51%Oba tímy skórujúNie51%1.96
2.53 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
10.6 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapFK Zalgiris Vilnius II winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II win55%1.821.6255.2%-0.2 pp
Remíza23%4.353.9022.9%+0.1 pp
FK Kauno Žalgiris ll win22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II1.56

Domáci share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 46% · Menej 54%

FK Kauno Žalgiris ll0.97

Hostia share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 49% · Nie 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Žalgiris ll

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Výhra probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.56
Expected goals
0.97
FK Zalgiris Vilnius IIFK Kauno Žalgiris ll
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Zalgiris Vilnius II signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Kauno Žalgiris ll signalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FK Kauno Žalgiris ll FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II výhra 55%,Remíza 23%,FK Kauno Žalgiris ll výhra 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Viac 2.5 46% · Current selection Menej