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CHL Chile Segunda · Trận đấu ·

Real Juventud San Joaquin vs Santiago Morning

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.27 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng35%
Hòa29%
Đội khách thắng35%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Real Juventud San JoaquinSantiago Morning
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu61% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
35% / 29% / 35%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Cơ hội kép1270.8%1.41
Tài 39% · Xỉu 61%Goals 2.5Xỉu61%1.64
Có 45% · Không 55%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông55%1.82
2.27 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.3 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapSantiago Morning winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Juventud San Joaquin win35%2.862.6034.7%+0.3 pp
Hòa29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
Santiago Morning win35%2.862.5036.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Juventud San Joaquin1.31

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 39% · Xỉu 61%

Santiago Morning0.96

Khách share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 45% · Không 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Real Juventud San Joaquin

0.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Điểm4

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Santiago Morning

0.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Điểm2

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Thắng probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.31
Expected goals
0.96
Real Juventud San JoaquinSantiago Morning
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Juventud San Joaquin signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santiago Morning signalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Real Juventud San Joaquin vs Santiago Morning FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Juventud San Joaquin thắng 35%,Hòa 29%,Santiago Morning thắng 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Tài 2.5 39% · Current selection Xỉu