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BRA 巴西甲級聯賽 · Round 21 ·

弗拉門戈 vs 維多利亞

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score3–13.22 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝78%
16%
客勝6%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 78% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝78% selection probability
Projected score3–1弗拉門戈維多利亞
Expected goals3.22初盤 match profile
Goals 2.562% for the selected side
雙方進球57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
78% / 16% / 6%比賽結果主勝78%1.28
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 維多利亞 win (6.3%)雙重機會1X93.7%1.07
大 62% · 小 38%Goals 2.562%1.61
是 43% · 否 57%雙方進球57%1.75
3.22 total expected goals正確比分3–1
9.2 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gap維多利亞 winDifference-0.3 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
弗拉門戈 win78%1.281.2277.8%+0.2 pp
16%6.256.0015.8%+0.2 pp
維多利亞 win6%16.6715.006.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

弗拉門戈2.60

主隊 share of expected goals 80.7%

Total expected goals3.22初盤

Dedicated goals model: 62% · 38%

維多利亞0.62

客隊 share of expected goals 19.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 43% · 57%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

弗拉門戈

2.20pts / match
5Wins3Drawn2Losses0積分11

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

維多利亞

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
78%
贏 probability excluding draw
6%
11
Points from supplied form
4
2.60
Expected goals
0.62
弗拉門戈維多利亞
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01弗拉門戈 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02維多利亞 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk22% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

弗拉門戈 vs 維多利亞 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 3–1 · 78% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

弗拉門戈 78%, 16%,維多利亞 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · 大2.5 62% · Current selection