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BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 22 ·

Flamengo vs Vitoria

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score3–13.22 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem78%
Döntetlen16%
Vendég győzelem6%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 78% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem78% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoVitoria
Expected goals3.22Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett62% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
78% / 16% / 6%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem78%1.28
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vitoria win (6.3%)Dupla esély1X93.7%1.07
Felett 62% · Alatt 38%Goals 2.5Felett62%1.61
Igen 43% · Nem 57%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem57%1.75
3.22 total expected goalsPontos eredmény3–1
9.2 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapVitoria winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Flamengo win78%1.281.2277.8%+0.2 pp
Döntetlen16%6.256.0015.8%+0.2 pp
Vitoria win6%16.6715.006.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.60

Hazai share of expected goals 80.7%

Total expected goals3.22Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 62% · Alatt 38%

Vitoria0.62

Vendég share of expected goals 19.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitIgen 43% · Nem 57%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Flamengo

2.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontok11

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Vitoria

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontok4

SignalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
78%
Nyert probability excluding draw
6%
11
Points from supplied form
4
2.60
Expected goals
0.62
FlamengoVitoria
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vitoria signalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk22% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Vitoria FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 3–1 · 78% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo nyer 78%,Döntetlen 16%,Vitoria nyer 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · 2.5 felett 62% · Current selection Felett