Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
78% / 16% / 6%Match resultHome win78%1.28
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vitoria win (6.3%)Double chance1X93.7%1.07
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
3.22 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapVitoria winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Flamengo win78%1.281.2277.8%+0.2 pp
Draw16%6.256.0015.8%+0.2 pp
Vitoria win6%16.6715.006.3%-0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 80.7%
Total expected goals3.22Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%
Away share of expected goals 19.3%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchFlamengo
DDWWW
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchVitoria
LLDWL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
78%
Win probability excluding draw
6%11
Points from supplied form
42.60
Expected goals
0.62FlamengoVitoria
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.
Match questions
Flamengo vs Vitoria FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 78% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Flamengo win 78%，Draw 16%，Vitoria win 6%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.22 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over。