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BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 21 ·

Flamengo vs Vitoria

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–13.22 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa78%
Pareggio16%
Vittoria ospite6%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 78% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa78% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoVitoria
Expected goals3.22Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra62% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
78% / 16% / 6%Esito partitaVittoria casa78%1.28
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vitoria win (6.3%)Doppia Chance1X93.7%1.07
Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%Goals 2.5Sopra62%1.61
Sì 43% · No 57%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo57%1.75
3.22 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapVitoria winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Flamengo win78%1.281.2277.8%+0.2 pp
Pareggio16%6.256.0015.8%+0.2 pp
Vitoria win6%16.6715.006.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.60

Casa share of expected goals 80.7%

Total expected goals3.22Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%

Vitoria0.62

Trasferta share of expected goals 19.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 43% · No 57%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Flamengo

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Vitoria

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
78%
Vinta probability excluding draw
6%
11
Points from supplied form
4
2.60
Expected goals
0.62
FlamengoVitoria
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vitoria signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk22% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Vitoria FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 78% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo vinta 78%,Pareggio 16%,Vitoria vinta 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Sopra 2.5 62% · Current selection Sopra