Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
50% / 26% / 24%Esito partitaVittoria casa50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vasco Da Gama win (24.3%)Doppia Chance1X75.7%1.32
Sopra 61% · Sotto 39%Goals 2.5Sopra61%1.64
Sì 59% · No 41%Entrambe le squadre segnanoSì59%1.69
3.15 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1——
10.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Bahia win50%2.00
Pareggio26%3.85
Vasco Da Gama win24%4.17
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 64.4%
Total expected goals3.15Apertura
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 61% · Sotto 39%
Trasferta share of expected goals 35.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSì 59% · No 41%Match profileApertura
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchBahia
DDDWW
Giocate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punti9
SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchVasco Da Gama
WDDLL
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5
SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
50%
Vinta probability excluding draw
24%9
Points from supplied form
52.03
Expected goals
1.12BahiaVasco Da Gama
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Bahia vs Vasco Da Gama FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Bahia vinta 50%，Pareggio 26%，Vasco Da Gama vinta 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.15 · Sopra 2.5 61% · Current selection Sopra。