Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
50% / 26% / 24%Resultado del partidoVictoria local50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vasco da Gama win (24.3%)Doble Oportunidad1X75.7%1.32
Más de 61% · Menos de 39%Goals 2.5Más de61%1.64
Sí 59% · No 41%Ambos equipos marcanSí59%1.69
3.15 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1——
10.0 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Bahia win50%2.00
Empate26%3.85
Vasco da Gama win24%4.17
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Local share of expected goals 64.4%
Total expected goals3.15Abrir
Dedicated goals model: Más de 61% · Menos de 39%
Visitante share of expected goals 35.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSí 59% · No 41%Match profileAbrir
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Local-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchBahia
DDDWW
Jugados5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puntos9
SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchVasco da Gama
WDDLL
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5
SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
50%
Ganado probability excluding draw
24%9
Points from supplied form
52.03
Expected goals
1.12BahiaVasco da Gama
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Bahia vs Vasco da Gama FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Bahia ganada 50%，Empate 26%，Vasco da Gama ganada 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.15 · Más de 2.5 61% · Current selection Más de。