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BRA Brasil - Serie A · Round 21 ·

Palmeiras vs Internacional

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.05 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local61%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante15%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local61% selection probability
Projected score2–1PalmeirasInternacional
Expected goals3.05Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de59% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
61% / 24% / 15%Resultado del partidoVictoria local61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Internacional win (14.9%)Doble Oportunidad1X85.1%1.18
Más de 59% · Menos de 41%Goals 2.5Más de59%1.69
Sí 42% · No 58%Ambos equipos marcanNo58%1.72
3.05 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapPalmeiras winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Palmeiras win61%1.641.6059.3%+1.7 pp
Empate24%4.173.8024.9%-0.9 pp
Internacional win15%6.676.0015.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Palmeiras2.45

Local share of expected goals 80.3%

Total expected goals3.05Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 59% · Menos de 41%

Internacional0.60

Visitante share of expected goals 19.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 42% · No 58%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Palmeiras

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Internacional

0.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puntos1

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Ganado probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.45
Expected goals
0.60
PalmeirasInternacional
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Palmeiras signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Internacional signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Palmeiras vs Internacional FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Palmeiras ganada 61%,Empate 24%,Internacional ganada 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.05 · Más de 2.5 59% · Current selection Más de