Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
61% / 24% / 15%Match resultHome win61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Internacional win (14.9%)Double chance1X85.1%1.18
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 42% · No 58%Both teams scoreNo58%1.72
3.05 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapPalmeiras winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Palmeiras win61%1.641.6059.3%+1.7 pp
Draw24%4.173.8024.9%-0.9 pp
Internacional win15%6.676.0015.8%-0.8 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 80.3%
Total expected goals3.05Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%
Away share of expected goals 19.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 42% · No 58%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchPalmeiras
WLWWW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchInternacional
DLLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
61%
Win probability excluding draw
15%12
Points from supplied form
12.45
Expected goals
0.60PalmeirasInternacional
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Palmeiras vs Internacional FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Palmeiras win 61%，Draw 24%，Internacional win 15%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.05 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over。