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BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 21 ·

Palmeiras vs Internacional

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.05 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr61%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr15%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr61% selection probability
Projected score2–1PalmeirasInternacional
Expected goals3.05Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
61% / 24% / 15%KampresultatHjemmesejr61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Internacional win (14.9%)Dobbeltchance1X85.1%1.18
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Ja 42% · Nej 58%Begge hold scorerNej58%1.72
3.05 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapPalmeiras winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Palmeiras win61%1.641.6059.3%+1.7 pp
Uafgjort24%4.173.8024.9%-0.9 pp
Internacional win15%6.676.0015.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Palmeiras2.45

Hjemme share of expected goals 80.3%

Total expected goals3.05Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

Internacional0.60

Ude share of expected goals 19.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nej 58%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Palmeiras

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Internacional

0.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Point1

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Vundet probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.45
Expected goals
0.60
PalmeirasInternacional
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Palmeiras signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Internacional signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Palmeiras vs Internacional FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Palmeiras vundet 61%,Uafgjort 24%,Internacional vundet 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.05 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over