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BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 21 ·

Palmeiras vs Internacional

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.05 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa61%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite15%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa61% selection probability
Projected score2–1PalmeirasInternacional
Expected goals3.05Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra59% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
61% / 24% / 15%Esito partitaVittoria casa61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Internacional win (14.9%)Doppia Chance1X85.1%1.18
Sopra 59% · Sotto 41%Goals 2.5Sopra59%1.69
Sì 42% · No 58%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo58%1.72
3.05 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapPalmeiras winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Palmeiras win61%1.641.6059.3%+1.7 pp
Pareggio24%4.173.8024.9%-0.9 pp
Internacional win15%6.676.0015.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Palmeiras2.45

Casa share of expected goals 80.3%

Total expected goals3.05Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 59% · Sotto 41%

Internacional0.60

Trasferta share of expected goals 19.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 42% · No 58%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Palmeiras

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Internacional

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Vinta probability excluding draw
15%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.45
Expected goals
0.60
PalmeirasInternacional
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Palmeiras signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Internacional signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Palmeiras vs Internacional FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Palmeiras vinta 61%,Pareggio 24%,Internacional vinta 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.05 · Sopra 2.5 59% · Current selection Sopra