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BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 21 ·

Remo vs Atletico Mineiro

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Away form
Home win31%
Draw30%
Away win39%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1RemoAtletico Mineiro
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
31% / 30% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.6%)Double chance1270.4%1.42
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.2%Largest probability gapAtletico Mineiro winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Remo win31%3.233.1030.7%+0.3 pp
Draw30%3.333.2029.7%+0.3 pp
Atletico Mineiro win39%2.562.4039.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Remo1.37

Home share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Atletico Mineiro1.20

Away share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Remo

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Atletico Mineiro

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Win probability excluding draw
39%
6
Points from supplied form
10
1.37
Expected goals
1.20
RemoAtletico Mineiro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Remo signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Mineiro signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Remo vs Atletico Mineiro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Remo win 31%,Draw 30%,Atletico Mineiro win 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under