Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 30% / 27%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletico Paranaense win (27.3%)Double chance1X72.7%1.38
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.29 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapSantos winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santos win43%2.332.1544.1%-1.1 pp
Draw30%3.333.2029.6%+0.4 pp
Athletico Paranaense win27%3.703.6026.3%+0.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 46.3%
Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%
Away share of expected goals 53.7%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSantos
WDWLW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchAthletico Paranaense
DWWWW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Win probability excluding draw
27%10
Points from supplied form
131.06
Expected goals
1.23SantosAthletico Paranaense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Santos vs Athletico Paranaense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Santos win 43%，Draw 30%，Athletico Paranaense win 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.29 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under。